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Season 2022
2022x1 MINI LECTURE 12- How to Look at the Risks of Covid Vaccines Episode overview
Air date
Jan 02, 2022
How to look at the risks of Covid vaccines, why they much lower than you think. We never had a larger monitored sample size in history and it allows events that on average show up later to manifest themselves very early on.
How to look at the risks of Covid vaccines, why they much lower than you think. We never had a larger monitored sample size in history and it allows events that on average show up later to manifest themselves very early on.
2022x2 MINI LECTURE 13 - Claims that Violence Has Dropped Are Not Statistical Episode overview
Air date
Jan 10, 2022
Violence is from Extremistan, hence requires some more sophisticated tools since LLN works slowly. We see how Pinker's thesis is bogus. We look at ways to integrate the factual .. show full overview
Violence is from Extremistan, hence requires some more sophisticated tools since LLN works slowly. We see how Pinker's thesis is bogus. We look at ways to integrate the factual unreliability of historical accounts. We look at transformations to analyze violence using power law tools since the worst case is bounded at contemporary population level.
2022x3 MINI LECTURE 13b - Technical Appendix. How to fix the problem of power laws with compact support. Episode overview
Air date
Jan 11, 2022
What do you do when the data looks like it is powerlaw distributed over a broad range, but cannot be technically a power law? We use a dual distribution and transport parameters between one and another.
What do you do when the data looks like it is powerlaw distributed over a broad range, but cannot be technically a power law? We use a dual distribution and transport parameters between one and another.
2022x4Show finale MINI LESSON 14 A First Course on Fragility, Convexity, and Antifragility (Nontechnical). Episode overview
Air date
Jan 21, 2022
A first, very introductory presentation of fragility as linked to both nonlinearity and dislike of variations. Antifragility is almost the opposite, limited to a specific range of variations.
A first, very introductory presentation of fragility as linked to both nonlinearity and dislike of variations. Antifragility is almost the opposite, limited to a specific range of variations.
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