Arvin Ash

Technological Singularity - Weird Future Predictions (2018x31)

Udgivelsesdato: Okt 05, 2018

Technological Singularity in 2045 – Get Ready - This is what the future may be like. Ray Kurzweil is a famous futurist who has been right about 90% of the time. He is such a visionary that in 2012 Google hired him to be their Director of Engineering. He predicted the rise of the internet over 30 years ago, in 1984,when most people had never even heard of it. And he even predicted its widespread use via wireless technologies in the 21st century. Ray was labelled “crazy” at the time. He has some “crazy” predictions for the next 30 years including the “Singularity” – which will change everything. First let’s look at why Kurzweil is so often right about the timing of his predictions. Take the example of DNA mapping. In 1990, an international collaboration of scientists was set up to map the entire human DNA sequence. It was a 15 year project. Well, after 7 years, in 1997, only 1 % of the genome had been mapped. And the project was declared a failure. Some Scientist estimated that it would take another 100 years to complete at this rate. Ray Kurzweil said, "1%?...You guys are almost done." And sure enough 6 years later, in 2003, the entire human genome had been sequenced. How did that happen? Because the technology doubled every year. So then every year 2%, 4%, 8%, 16%, 32%, 64%, 128% - so 1% doesn’t go to 7% in 7 years, it goes to 100% because100 is less than doublings from 1%. So Let’s look as some of Ray’s predictions – he predicts that by 2030, artificial intelligence will be as smart as a human. And by 2045, AI will not only exceed the brainpower of a human being, but it will exceed the brainpower of all 7 billion human beings on earth…combined! Scientists dramatically call this intelligence explosion the Singularity! This is not to be confused with the term singularity in Physics – which represents an infinitesimally small point from which all of creation came about. But this technological singularity may be just as momentous. How w